Lyon warms up for Champions League against Caen
Soccer Betting Lines
02/10/2012 - Lyon, France (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lyon slipped 10 points behind Ligue 1 leader PSG last weekend, so a visit by Caen on Saturday - ahead of Tuesday's last 16 Champions League match against APOEL - has turned into a must-win match.
Since winning the last of seven straight Ligue 1 titles in 2008, Lyon has not finished atop the standings, and faces a tough ascent this season behind free spending PSG.
PSG has spent well over $100 million in the summer and this January, and with Carlo Ancelotti undefeated in five matches in all competitions as coach, Lyon cannot afford to drop any more points.
Although last week's result was a 2-2 draw against Marseille, it left both of PSG's rivals farther from the top.
"It's a good draw, but one that does leave us harboring a few regrets. My team has character, but we were lacking a little something to win it. But it's still a point more," Lyon coach Remi Garde said.
"That's important ahead of the big games that we've got coming up in the Champions League."
Caen is winless in its last eight Ligue 1 matches, and has not scored over its last three. The club's last win was against Dijon, in Week 13.
"Everyone wants to pull in the same direction, whether you play a lot or not, whether it be the oldest or the youngest member of the squad, whether you're at the end of your contract or not. You have to think about the club, and try and find that little spark," said Caen midfielder Frederic Bulot.
Caen would get a spark with a win at Lyon, and it has a lot to play for with a place in the relegation zone possible otherwise. With Champions League play on the horizon, and sight of the summit fading, Lyon has a lot to play for also.
Also Saturday, second-place Montpellier hosts Ajaccio, Auxerre hosts Lorient, Valenciennes hosts Nancy, Brest hosts Dijon, and Rennes hosts Sochaux. Evian was set to host Marseille, but the match has been postponed.
On Sunday, PSG visits Nice when it could need a result to pull clear of rival Montpellier, which enters the weekend just three points back.
"It's a perilous trip," said PSG's Mathieu Bodmer. "Nice need points, as do we in terms of the Ligue 1 title. We're going down there to take three points.
"We're going to be focused, highly-motivated, and will go out onto the pitch with the aim of playing better than we did against Evian, but it's the result which counts."
Third-place Lille hosts Bordeaux in a match of two of the last three champions and Toulouse hosts St Etienne in Sunday's other fixtures.
Dunfermline, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dunfermline will try to snap a pair of negative streaks on Saturday when the club hosts second-place Rangers. In the last 30 meetings between the two teams, Dunfermline has managed just one win,
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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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